Keyword search (4,163 papers available)

"decision analysis" Keyword-tagged Publications:

Title Authors PubMed ID
1 Toward a Sustainable Future: A Holistic Environmental, Social, and Economic Assessment of Industrial Recycling for All-Solid-State Batteries with Oxide-Based Electrolytes Wang Z; Tian X; Zhao S; Zhang P; An C; 41073076
ENCS
2 Feasibility analysis of recycling and repurposing end-of-life vehicle batteries in isolated island areas: A case study in British Columbia, Canada Wang Z; Lyu L; Huang G; An C; 40795495
ENCS
3 An integrated environmental and economic assessment for the disposal of food waste from grocery retail stores towards resource recovery Zhou S; Chen Z; Huang X; Yang X; Lyu L; An C; Peng H; 39480576
ENCS
4 Decision-first modeling should guide decision making for emerging risks Morgan K; Collier ZA; Gilmore E; Schmitt K; 35104915
ENCS

 

Title:Decision-first modeling should guide decision making for emerging risks
Authors:Morgan KCollier ZAGilmore ESchmitt K
Link:https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35104915/
DOI:10.1111/risa.13888
Publication:Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis
Keywords:decision analysisdecision makingemerging risksrisk analysisuncertainty
PMID:35104915 Category: Date Added:2022-02-02
Dept Affiliation: ENCS
1 Center for Foodborne Illness Research and Prevention, Department of Food Science and Technology, Ohio State University, Columbus, Ohio, USA.
2 Department of Management, Radford University, Radford, Virginia, USA.
3 Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Carleton University, Ottawa, Canada.
4 Centre for Engineering in Society, Gina Cody School of Engineering, Concordia University, Montreal, Canada.

Description:

An emerging risk is characterized by scant published data, rapidly changing information, and an absence of existing models that can be directly used for prediction. Analysis may be further complicated by quickly evolving decision-maker priorities and the potential need to make decisions quickly as new information comes available. To provide a forum to discuss these challenges, a virtual conference, "Decision Making for Emerging Risks," was held on June 22-23, 2021, sponsored jointly by the Decision Analysis Society of the Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences and the Decision Analysis and Risk specialty group in the Society for Risk Analysis. Speakers reflected on the work to support decision-makers related to the COVID-19 pandemic as well as experiences in emerging risks across domains from cybersecurity, infrastructure, transportation, energy, food safety, national security, and climate change. Here, we distill the key findings to propose a set of best practice principles for a "decision-first" approach for emerging risks. These discussions underscore the importance of scoping the decision context and the shared responsibility for the development and implementation of the analysis between the analyst and the decision-maker when the context can evolve rapidly. Emerging risks may also favor simpler analytical approaches that increase transparency, ease of explanation, and ability to conduct new analyses quickly. Continued dialogue by the decision and risk analysis communities on the use and development of models for emerging risks will enhance the credibility and usefulness of these approaches.





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